Odds on 2017/18 NFL MVP – Who should You Bet on?

jj-watt-mvpOne of the most-exciting NFL futures bets is who will win the MVP. And the reason why this is such a fun wager is because you never know who’s going to win.

Last season, Matt Ryan was a surprise winner after completing 69.9% of his passes, throwing for 4,944 yards, tossing 38 TDs, and boasting a 117.1 passer rating.

Will we have a surprise MVP in the 2017/18 NFL season? We’ll discuss this matter below by looking at some of the hottest betting picks. But let’s first check out the 2017 MVP odds courtesy of GTBets:

  • Aaron Rodgers +550
  • Adrian Peterson +10000
  • Andrew Luck +3000
  • Antonio Brown +4000
  • Ben Roethlisberger +1800
  • Cam Newton +2500
  • Carson Palmer +7500
  • Dak Prescott +2000
  • David Johnson +2500
  • Derek Carr +1000
  • Drew Brees +2500
  • Eli Manning +5000
  • Ezekiel Elliott +4000
  • JJ Watt +10000
  • Jameis Winston +1600
  • Julio Jones +5000
  • Kirk Cousins +6000
  • Le’Veon Bell +2500
  • Marcus Mariota +2800
  • Matt Ryan +1400
  • Matt Stafford +4500
  • Philip Rivers +4500
  • Rob Gronkowski +10000
  • Russell Wilson +1000
  • Sam Bradford +10000
  • Tom Brady +400

7 Players Offering Value with 2017 NFL MVP Odds

1. Matt Ryan +1400

matt-ryan-falconsAs mentioned earlier, Matt Ryan had an outstanding season after throwing for nearly 5,000 yards and finishing with 38 touchdowns against 7 interceptions.

So what’s changed this year? Not much at all. This is why it’s strange to see both Tom Brady (+400) and Aaron Rodgers (+550) with better MVP odds than Ryan. The latter has the best target in the game in Julio Jones, and two running backs with good hands in Tevin Coleman and Devonta Freeman.

Colin Cowherd may say that Ryan isn’t an elite quarterback. But how can he be anything but with the great supporting cast around him?

2. JJ Watt +10000

There are two reasons why Watt’s MVP odds are so poor: 1) he’s coming off an injury plagued season; 2) he’s a defensive player.

A defensive player hasn’t won MVP in over 30 years. But Watt has a chance when healthy, as he’s proven by being one of the most-dominant defensive lineman of all time. Watt is a great value bet at +10000 odds.

3. Julio Jones +5000

julio-jones-2016Jerry Rice is the only wide receiver to win MVP honors. So Jones has a large hill to climb in this regard. But it’s hard to overlook his chances after two straight big seasons.

In 2015, he caught 136 balls (T-2nd most ever) and tallied 1,871 receiving yards (2nd most ever). He had another big year in 2016, catching 83 passes for 1,409 yards. If the 28-year-old can repeat 2015’s performance, he has a chance to become the second-ever receiver to win MVP. At +5000 odds, we like this pick.

4. Kirk Cousins +6000

Kirk Cousins will be auditioning for a big, long-term contract for the next two seasons. This means that we can likely expect another strong season following Cousins’ 2016 campaign, where he threw for 4,917 yards, had 25 touchdowns, and completed 67% of his passes. The big thing that would help Cousins’ case is if Washington can make the playoffs.

5. David Johnson +2500

david-johnson-cardinalsDavid Johnson was the league’s best dual-threat running back last season. He rushed for 1,239 yards and 16 touchdowns. Johnson added another 879 receiving yards and 4 TDs on 80 catches.

The only thing missing from Johnson’s campaign is a winning team that draws media attention. The Cardinals were a disappointing 7-8-1 last season. But they have a chance to turn things around this year and position Johnson as a serious MVP candidate.

6. Le’Veon Bell +2500

leveon-bellThe good news for Pittsburgh fans is that Bell will be reporting to the team after a contract holdout. This also ensures that he has some chance at MVP.

Of course, he has teammates Ben Roethlisberger (+1800) and Antonio Brown (+4000) to compete with if the Steelers have a great season. But we like Bell among this trio coming off a stellar year, where he rushed for 1,268 yards and 7 touchdowns on just 261 carries (12 games).

7. Matthew Stafford +4500

matt-staffordNot everybody is a fan of Matt Stafford’s new deal. But he justified his contract with a solid campaign where he completed 65.3% of his passes for 4,327 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. He’s now thrown for over 4,000 yards in six straight seasons. If he can get in the upper 4000s and adds some TDs, Stafford is a legitimate MVP candidate.

7 Players with No Chance to Win 2017/18 NFL MVP

1. Andrew Luck +3000 – We’re not even sure when Luck will take the field again after shoulder surgery. This could end up being a lost season for the Colts’ signal caller, and it makes him the worst value pick.

2. Ezekiel Elliott +4000 – Maybe Elliott wins his case against the NFL in a federal courtroom. But for now, he’s set to miss the first 6 games of the season.

3. Marcus Mariota +2800 – Mariota showed a lot of improvement in his second season, with 3,426 passing yards, 349 rushing yards, 26 TD passes, and 9 interceptions. But he’ll need an even bigger leap to put up MVP numbers.

4. Philip Rivers +4500 – Rivers has the type of stats to be considered an MVP candidate. But the Chargers haven’t won more than 9 games in the past seven seasons.

5. Russell Wilson +1000 – We like Wilson’s talent, and we like his team. But Wilson just doesn’t put up the numbers to win an MVP award. He’s an especially bad bet at +1000.

6. Rob Gronkowski +10000 – No tight end has ever won the MVP award. We don’t think that even Gronk will change this.

7. Sam Bradford +10000 – He’s a decent starting quarterback, but c’mon…