2016 NFL Prop Bets – Analysis and Tips

The 2016 NFL regular season is drawing closer, which means that prop bet lines have been released. You can now place bets on everything from who’ll win the MVP award to who’ll rush for the most yardage.

If you’re interested in making any prop bets this year, keep reading to see some of the different NFL props offered at GTBets.eu along with advice on each one.

NFL MVP Odds to Win

Aaron Rodgers  +350
Adrian Peterson +4000
Andrew Luck +1200
Andy Dalton +5000
Ben Roethlisberger +450
Cam Newton +650
Carson Palmer +1400
Derek Carr +4000
Drew Brees +2500
Eli Manning +2000
JJ Watt +5000
Le’Veon Bell +2500
Marcus Mariota +5000
Matt Ryan +5000
Phillip Rivers +5000
Russell Wilson +650
Tom Brady +800
Tony Romo +4000

Our Favorite to Win MVP – Russell Wilson: for the first time in three years, the Seahawks failed to make the Super Bowl. But Wilson had his best season, passing for 4,024 yards, 34 touchdowns, and just 8 interceptions. If he repeats this kind of production and Seattle bounces back, then Wilson could win the MVP.

Most Passing Yards Odds

philip-riversAaron Rodgers +1200
Andrew Luck +1000
Ben Roethlisberger +550
Blake Bortles +2500
Carson Palmer +1200
Derek Carr +3000
Drew Brees +450
Eli Manning +1100
Field (all others) +300
Joe Flacco +3000
Kirk Cousins +2500
Matt Ryan +900
Matthew Stafford +2500
Phillip Rivers +800
Russell Wilson +5000
Ryan Tannehill +4000

Our Favorite to Pass for the Most Yards – Philip Rivers: Last year, Drew Brees edged out Rivers by just 8 yards for the passing yardage title. But Brees has less weapons this year, while Rivers gets his favorite target Keenan Allen back. Expect Rivers to eclipse his total of 4,792 passing yards last season and lead the league.

Most Rushing Yards Odds

ezekiel-elliott-cowboysAdrian Peterson +390
Arian Foster +3500
CJ Anderson +3000
Carlos Hyde +3000
David Johnson +1600
DeMarco Murray +4500
Devonta Freeman +3000
Doug Martin +1100
Eddie Lacy +2200
Ezekiel Elliott +900
Field (all others) +425
Jamaal Charles +1600
Jeremy Hill +5000
Jonathan Stewart +4500
Lamar Miller +1000
Latavius Murray +4000
LeSean McCoy +1500
LeVeon Bell +2000
Mark Ingram +4000
Thomas Rawls +1800
Todd Gurley +500

Our Favorite to Rush for the Most Yards – Ezekiel Elliot: Adrian Peterson defied logic by leading the league with 1,482 rushing yards last year at age 30. But with six 300+ touch seasons in the last nine years, Peterson has to level off at some point. Contrast this to Ezekiel Elliot, who’s a rookie set to get lots of touches behind an elite offensive line.

Most Receiving Yards Odds

julio-jones-falconsAJ Green +1500
Allen Robinson +2000
Alshon Jeffery +3000
Amari Cooper +2800
Antonio Brown +400
Brandin Cooks +3000
Brandon Marshall +3500
DeAndre Hopkins +1200
Demaryius Thomas +4000
Dez Bryant +2500
Field (all others) +220
Golden Tate +5000
Jarvis Landry +5000
Jordy Nelson +1800
Julio Jones +450
Keenan Allen +3000
Kelvin Benjamin +5000
Mike Evans +3000
Odell Beckham +750
Sammy Watkins +3500
TY Hilton +3000

Our Favorite to Get the Most Receiving Yards – Antonio Brown: Last year Julio Jones (1,871 yards) and Antonio Brown (1,834 yards) were neck and neck for the most receiving yards, while nobody else was even close. Little should change, with both of these players battling for the most receiving yards again. The only difference is that this time around, Brown won’t have to contend for targets with Martavis Bryant, who’s suspended for the entire year.

Odds to Win 2016 Super Bowl

Tom BradyArizona +1100
Atlanta +4500
Baltimore +3000
Buffalo +6000
Carolina +900
Chicago +6500
Cincinnati +1400
Cleveland +20000
Dallas +3500
Denver +1400
Detroit +7000
Green Bay +800
Houston +3000
Indianapolis +2500
Jacksonville +4500
Kansas City +2000
Los Angeles +7500
Miami +5000
Minnesota +2000
New England +650
New Orleans +5000
New York Giants +3000
New York Jets +5000
Oakland +3500
Philadelphia +6000
Pittsburgh +900
San Diego +5000
San Francisco +10000
Seattle +650
Tampa Bay +7000
Tennessee +7000
Washington +4000

Our Favorite to Win 2016 Super Bowl – New England Patriots: Tom Bray may be suspended for the first four games of the season, but the Patriots have a good enough team to split those first four contests. Once New England gets Brady back, they should have no trouble making a deep postseason run. Last year they got stopped by the eventual champion Broncos, but this season we don’t see any other team that can match the Patriots.

Top 5 NFL Prop Bets of 2014

lesean-mccoy-2014-prop-betsThe 2014 NFL season officially starts this week, meaning there will be plenty of great betting opportunities coming up. Of course with so many different wagers available, it can be difficult figuring out where to start first. If you’re in this boat, then check out our list of the top 10 NFL prop bets in 2014 (all found at GTBets.eu).

1. Running Back with Most Rushing Yards (Our Pick: LeSean McCoy at 5 to 2)

Running backs who maintain a high volume of carries aren’t always a great bet to win rushing titles in back-to-back years. But LeSean McCoy, who tallied 1,607 rushing yards last season, seems like a good bet to do so.

McCoy finished 269 yards ahead of his next-closest competition, Matt Forte, so that’s one reason to like him. But another huge reason is simply Chip Kelly’s high-octane offense. With a two-headed attack that includes QB Nick Foles, Kelly’s relentless offense creates a lot of open rushing lanes. So it wouldn’t be a surprise to see McCoy come out with the rushing crown yet again.

2. Quarterback with Most Passing Yards (Value Pick: Matt Ryan at 15 to 1)

NFL: AUG 16 Pre-Season Colts v FalconsLast year, Peyton Manning crushed the NFL record for most passing yards with 5,477. And there’s not a whole lot to suggest that he isn’t a good bet at 11-to-5 odds to repeat his success. But if Manning stumbles, Matt Ryan is certainly a good value pick to steal the passing yardage crown.

Ryan finished fourth in 2013 with 4,515 yards, which is quite a ways back from Peyton. However, the 25-year-old had some things working against him, namely an unhealthy receiving duo of Julio Jones and Roddy White. At one point, Ryan’s main target was Harry Douglas, a mediocre receiver throughout his career. With Jones and White back and healthy, and Ryan forced to carry a suspect running game, we expect No. 2 to be throwing the ball more than he’d like to.

3. Team to win AFC East (Value Pick: Miami Dolphins at 8 to 1)

Like every year, the obvious pick to win the AFC East is the New England Patriots. But if you’re looking for a darkhorse that could earn you a lot of money, then the Miami Dolphins are certainly worth considering.

They finished 8-8 last season, despite a poor running game and the Richie Icognito/Jonathan Martin scandal. The team brought in Knowshon Moreno to add another dimension to their rushing attack, which we like in combination with Lamar Miller. And of course there’s Ryan Tannehill, who took a big step up in his second season. We definitely expect his improvement to continue in 2014, which helps Miami’s chances of winning the division.

4. First Head Coach to be fired (Our Pick: Jason Garrett at 10 to 3)

jason-garrett-cowboys-firedLike always, several head coaches open the season on the hot seat. Oakland’s Dennis Allen is one of those who’s sitting on the hottest seat, and we have him at 10-to-3 odds of being fired first. Tied with him is Dallas’ Jason Garrett, whom we think is in even more trouble due to his history with the Cowboys.

Sure, owner Jerry Jones seems to have a man crush on Garrett. But that crush may finally end this season if the Cowboys don’t exceed expectations. Since taking over the reigns midway through 2010, Garrett has gone 29-27 with zero playoff appearances. His three full seasons have all resulted in 8-8 campaigns, coupled with some late-season collapses. Seeing as how Dallas lost three of their best defenders (Sean Lee, DeMarcus Ware, Jason Hatcher) off an already-bad defense, we don’t like Garrett’s chances of lasting the whole season.

5. Miami Dolphins 2014 Wins (Our Pick: Over 7.5 Wins at -130)

If you read the third bet, you know that we’re high on the Dolphins doing well this season. And it seems reasonable to think that they could at least reach eight wins again, if not exceed that total and win the AFC East.

Besides all of the reasons that we discussed before, a big reason to like Miami is that they play a soft schedule. Their road games are pretty mild, with contests at Buffalo, Oakland, Chicago, Jacksonville, Detroit, Denver, New York Jets and New England. And keep in mind that the Oakland game is actually in London, a neutral spot. We realize that the -130 line doesn’t offer a ton of value, but over 7.5 wins this season seems like a winning bet to us.