Spurs favored over Heat in 2013 NBA Finals Game 3 Betting Line

tim-duncanThe 2013 NBA Finals began with an interesting turn when the underdog San Antonio Spurs won the first game in a close contest. But then the Miami Heat stormed back and won Game 2 by 19 points, despite just 27 combined points from LeBron James and Dwayne Wade. Now, with the series tied at 1-1, the Heat and Spurs play a pivotal Game 3 tonight (June 11th) at 9:00pm ET.

San Antonio is a slight favorite on the Game 3 betting line because they’ve got home court advantage. Here’s a look at how GTBets.eu has the line:

Miami    (-110)
San Antonio  -2  (-110)

As you can see, the Spurs are favored by two points on the Game 3 spread. Since Miami was favored coming into this series, many Heat backers will like this line. However, Chris Bosh and Wade have been terribly inconsistent over the last several playoff games. Wade doesn’t appear to be playing at full strength, which should definitely benefit San Antonio over the remainder of this series.

nba-finals-2013The Spurs aren’t without their difficulties either since Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard all shot poorly last game. Parker was 5-for-14, Leonard was 4-for-12, Manu Ginobili shot 2-for-6, and Duncan shot just 3-for-13, as they all struggled with Miami’s athleticism in Game 2. Shooting guard Danny Green was pretty hot after making all six of his shots and scoring 17 points. But it wasn’t nearly enough to keep San Antonio in the contest.

So far, this has been a defensive series with both teams doing a good job of pressuring each other. These clubs will be looking to get more going on offense tonight, and below, you can see their keys to victory.

Keys to Game 3 of the 2013 NBA Finals

San Antonio Spurs – One thing that would greatly aid San Antonio is if Tim Duncan can get back on track. He’s got a size and strength advantage against both Bosh and Chris Anderson inside. And he should exploit this mismatch, rather than settle for mid-range jumpers. There have been open lanes for Duncan to get inside thanks to Miami’s efforts to trap Parker; he has to take advantage of these opportunities to free other players up.

1-nba-finals-2013Of course, Parker is going to need to shoot better as well. He creates the biggest mismatch problem for the Heat because of his quickness and ability to penetrate the lane. But if he can’t take advantage of Mario Chalmers and split Miami’s traps, the Spurs are in big trouble.

Ginobili has definitely been a disappointment throughout the playoffs. These problems surfaced big-time last game as he not only shot 2-of-6, but also committed three turnovers as well. He is San Antonio’s top bench player, and if he can’t get going, the team will rely too much on Duncan and Parker.

Overall, the Spurs have to control the ball better, which was a huge problem in Game 2. They committed 17 turnovers and executed poorly on offense. Execution is supposed to be a strength for San Antonio, and they have to get back to this.

Miami Heat – Coming off a big win last game, Miami will need to do more of the things that made them successful: getting to the basket, kicking the ball out to open shooters, creating lots of defensive pressure, and scoring points off of turnovers. Of course, this will be easier said than done against a motivated Spurs team on the road.

2-nba-finals-2013It can’t be stressed enough how the Heat need to get more from Wade and Bosh. With Wade, he may not be capable of stepping up his play due to a knee ailment. But he’s got to at least make sound decisions and hit open shots when the opportunity arises.

Bosh is a different story because he’s supposed to provide Miami with an inside presence. He finally got his first double-double in the last 10 playoff games; but this has to be the norm, instead of a bonus.

If there’s anything that Miami can improve on as a team from Game 2, it’s defensive rebounding and guarding Danny Green. They allowed 15 offensive rebounds last game and definitely need to block out the Spurs better. As for Green, he’s 9-of-14 from the three-point line – a sure sign that Miami has to get a hand in his face more often.

Remember that Game 3 starts tonight at 9:00pm ET and will be shown on ABC. So if you’re going to bet, make sure to do it before then.

2013 NBA Finals Preview and Betting Line

heat-spurs-nba-finalsThe 2013 NBA Finals are set with the Miami Heat looking to defend their title against the San Antonio Spurs. Miami made their way to the Finals after winning an easy Game 7 against the Indiana Pacers, in an otherwise grueling series. The Spurs have been resting for well over a week after sweeping the Memphis Grizzlies.

Game 1 of the 2013 NBA Finals starts tonight, and most experts are picking Miami to top an aging San Antonio team. This is especially the case when you consider how the Heat are opening at home. Here’s a quick look at the betting line provided by GTBets.eu:

San Antonio   (-110)  Over 188.5  (-110)
Miami Heat -5  (-110)  Under 188.5  (-110)

tony-parkerAs you can see, Miami is being spotted 5 points in this line. Of course, San Antonio is an experienced bunch and should not only make Game 1 close, but also play well throughout the series. Seeing as how this figures to be such an interesting matchup, let’s take a quick look at what both teams need to do to emerge victorious.

San Antonio Spurs’ Keys to Victory

1. Overcome the Heat’s Athleticism with Perfect Execution – When it comes to the key players in the series, Miami has a definite advantage in youth and athleticism. However, the Spurs are masters of offensive execution and move the ball better than any team in the league. They’ll need to continue this against the Heat and force them to play defense.

2. Shake off the Rust from the Layoff – San Antonio hasn’t played a basketball game since May 27th. That said, it’s easy to see them opening Game 1 with plenty of rust, which will hamper the perfect execution we just discussed. So the Spurs will really need to be focused mentally in the early going to avoid ugly turnovers and bad shots.

3. Exploit the Obvious Mismatch Tony Parker offers – While Mario Chalmers is a solid point guard, he’s up against the league’s top PG in Tony Parker. San Antonio will rely heavily on the Frenchman to give them a huge boost in this series.

kawhi-leonard4. Kawhi Leonard must slow LeBron James down – Two years ago, the Spurs traded popular PG George Hill for a draft pick that they used on Kawhi Leonard. The idea was that the athletic Leonard could eventually guard superstars like LeBron. Now it’s time to see if perception meets reality as Leonard hopes to at least slow James down for a couple games.

5. Manu Ginobili needs to find Something Extra – For years, Manu Ginobili has provided the Spurs with lots of offensive firepower. However, he’s definitely slowed down this season, which has been evident from the first two playoff rounds. But if San Antonio is to seriously contend with the Heat, they’re going to need everything they can get out of the Argentinean.

Miami Heat’s Keys to Victory

Dwyane Wade JaVale McGee1. Overwhelm the Spurs with Athleticism – It’s no secret that Miami has the more athletic team from an all-around perspective. And they need to use this athleticism to create turnovers and force San Antonio into bad shots. Miami should definitely watch some footage from last year’s Western Conference Finals, when the youthful Oklahoma City Thunder dominated the Spurs.

2. Make This the Big 3 Again – LeBron James may be the best basketball player in the world; however, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh are supposed to be pretty good themselves. Unfortunately, Wade and Bosh were very inconsistent against the Pacers – something which nearly cost them the series. These two need to combine with James to get the Big 3 back on track.

3. Ray Allen has to hit Shots – Wade and Bosh weren’t the only ones struggling against Indiana. Ray Allen has also had a tough time draining shots and, at times, couldn’t hit anything during the Pacers series. Luckily, the Spurs don’t defend the corners quite as well as Indiana, which could free Allen up for some open 3’s.

chris-anderson4. Defend the Rim – Miami features solid shot blockers in Bosh (1.36 BPG) and Chris “Birdman” Anderson (1.27 BPG). However, this is about all the Heat have to defend the rim against a San Antonio squad that’ll feature Tim Duncan and Tiago Splitter inside. Plus Parker and Ginobili will be cutting into the lane frequently and scoring at the hoop. So the Heat are going to need a team effort to protect the rim.

5. Contain Tony Parker – Miami doesn’t really figure to shut down either Duncan or Parker. But they can’t allow Parker to get comfortable and control the game tempo. A huge battle here will be the Heat’s pressure defense against Parker’s incredible ability to split traps.

Both clubs have their strong points and will be looking to impose these during this year’s NBA Finals. Miami is more talented, but San Antonio is fresher and features two future Hall-of-Famers in Parker and Duncan. That said, this should definitely be an entertaining series!

Pacers-Heat Game 7 Line at -7, Big Prop Bets being offered

miami-heat-indiana-pacers-1Few experts predicted this: the Indiana Pacers have pushed the heavily-favored Miami Heat to a deciding Game 7 in the Eastern Conference Finals. This game, which starts at 7:30pm EST tonight (June 3rd), will decide who goes on to face the San Antonio Spurs in the 2013 NBA Finals.

Assuming you’re looking to get some action on this huge matchup, GTBets.eu has the point spread at -7. You can look at the complete line below:

Indiana Pacers  (-110)  Over 180 (-110)
Miami Heat  -7  (-110)  Under 180 (-110)

As you can see, the Heat are being spotted 7 points because they’re the home team and considered more talented. If you bet on Miami to cover the 7 point spread and they do so, you’d win $100 for every $110 wagered. Likewise, if the Pacers lose by less than 7 points, a wager on them would yield $100 profit for every $110 bet.

miami-heat-indiana-pacers-2You can also see that the totals bet offers a fairly low score of over/under 180. The Indiana Pacers employ a gritty, defensive style, which has kept the Miami Heat from shining on the offensive end of the floor. With such a big game tonight, don’t expect anything less from Indiana as they look to steal a game on the road. But also don’t forget that home teams have won nearly 80% of the 112 Game 7’s in NBA history.

Moneyline, Halftime, 1st Quarter Bets

The GTBets.eu moneyline has the Heat as huge favorites since they’ll be playing in front of their home crowd. Here’s a look at the Eastern Conference Game 7 moneyline:

Indiana Pacers  (+280)
Miami Heat  (-350)

If you have a strong feeling that the Pacers will win, now is the perfect time to make your bet. A winning moneyline wager on Indiana would yield $180 in profit ($280 total) for every $100 wagered. As for the Heat, you’d be risking $250 to earn $100 in profit ($350 total). Below you can check out the halftime and first quarter wagers as well.

Halftime Line

1st Half Indiana   (-110)  Over 88.5  (-110)
1st Half Miami  -4 (-110)  Under 88.5 (-110)

1st Quarter Line

1st Quarter Indiana   (-110)  Over 44.5  (-110)
1st Quarter Miami  -2 (-110)  Under 44.5 (-110)

Prop Bets

As with any big game, you can expect a full slate of prop bets at GTBets for this Eastern Conference Game 7 matchup. There are 22 prop bets to be exact, and you can see a few of them below:

First Team to Score First Points of the Game
Indiana  (-110)
Miami  (-120)

First Team to Score 10 PTS
Indiana  (100)
Miami  (-130)

Total 3PT shots made
Over 13.5  (-115)
Under 13.5  (-115)

Points Scored by Paul George (Must Play)
Over 19.5  (-125)
Under 19.5  (-105)

Points Scored by David West (Must Play)
Over 16.5  (-140)
Under 16.5  (-110)

Points Scored by Roy Hibbert (Must Play)
Over 20.5  (-125)
Under 20.5  (-105)

Points Scored by LeBron James (Must Play)
Over 29.5  (-120)
Under 29.5  (-110)

Assists by LeBron James (Must Play)
Over 6.5  (-135)
Under 6.5  (+105)

Points Scored by Chris Bosh (Must Play)
Over 12.5  (100)
Under 12.5  (-130)

Points Scored by Dwayne Wade (Must Play)
Over 16.5  (+110)
Under 16.5  (-140)

2013 NBA Playoffs Betting – Second Round Matchup Analysis

tony-parkerThe first round of the 2013 NBA Playoffs won’t exactly go down in history. Seven of the first round series ended after six games or less. And the only series that did go the distance – Bulls vs. Nets – was loaded with injuries, thus preventing a great matchup between two full-strength teams.

Fans will no doubt be hoping for some closer series in the second round of the playoffs, though we’re sure some of the matchups look prime for more blowouts. Assuming you’re betting on the 2013 NBA Playoffs, hopefully you’ll be on the right side of these potential blowouts. With that said, let’s take a closer look at all of the second round series.

Eastern Conference

Dwyane Wade JaVale McGee#1 Seed Miami Heat vs. #5 Seed Chicago Bulls – The Bulls overcame a rash of injuries to pull out an emotional Game 7 win over the favored New Jersey Nets. Unfortunately, Chicago also comes out of this series with a large number of bumps and bruises. Kirk Hinrich is day-to-day with a calf injury while Luol Deng is coming off a major illness.

Miami, meanwhile, is entering this matchup relatively healthy. Dwayne Wade (knee) is slightly banged-up, but participating in full-contact practices. Seeing as how the Heat already have the three best players in this series with Wade, LeBron James and Chris Bosh, Chicago doesn’t stand a chance. However, Joakim Noah and the Bulls might pull out one game in a gutsy performance.

Prediction: Miami wins the series 4-1

paul-george-pacers#2 New York Knicks vs. #3 Seed Indiana Pacers – The Knicks look to continue their success after winning the club’s first playoff series in 13 years. However, they face a very tough matchup in the defensive-minded Indiana Pacers. This pairing is so tough, in fact, that all of the experts are divided on who’ll take the series.

New York didn’t exactly look dominant in beating the Boston Celtics four games to two. But they do have a lot of offensive weapons in Carmelo Anthony, J.R. Smith, Amar’e Stoudemire, Raymon Felton and Tyson Chandler. Expect Indiana to limit some of these weapons, while scoring plenty of points themselves with Paul George, David West and George Hill. But in the end, home court advantage may be the deciding factor for New York.

Prediction: New York wins the series 4-3

Western Conference

zach-randolph#1 Seed Oklahoma City Thunder vs. #5 Seed Memphis Grizzlies – Don’t expect Oklahoma City to use not having Russell Westbrook as an excuse. They still feature one of the league’s best scorers in Kevin Durant along with solid players in Serge Ibaka and Kevin Martin. However, the Thunder were built heavy at the top and don’t have a lot of firepower beyond these three.

Along with Indiana, Memphis is one of the league’s top two defensive teams. Marc Gasol and his Defensive Player of the Year award are a testament to the Grizzlies strong D. Overall, you can expect a pretty low-scoring series where Memphis comes out on top, thanks to the Westbrook season-ending injury.

Prediction: Memphis wins the series 4-2

stephen-curry#2 Seed San Antonio Spurs vs. #6 Seed Golden State Warriors – Golden State pulled off the biggest upset of the playoffs when they defeated Denver 4-2, despite David Lee getting injured. They did it with exceptionally hot shooting and will be hoping the momentum caries over against the Spurs.

San Antonio comes into this series relatively fresh after destroying the Lakers in four games. However, they do have some minor injuries issues to key contributors Tiago Splitter and Boris Diaw. However, the trio of Tony Parker, Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili should have no trouble leading the Spurs to victory. Expect Stephen Curry and Lee (if he plays much) to help Golden State pull out at least one win though.

Prediction: San Antonio wins the series 4-1

2013 NBA Playoffs Betting – First Round Matchup Analysis

lebron-jamesThe 2013 NBA playoffs officially start tomorrow, which means there’ll be plenty of intense betting action! Assuming you’re looking to do a little NBA playoffs betting, it’s definitely worth going over the first round matchups. There are several battles that figure to be extremely entertaining to watch – especially if you’ve got money on the line. So without further adieu, let’s get to the first round matchups.

Eastern Conference

#1 Seed Miami Heat (66-16) vs. #8 Seed Milwaukee Bucks (38-44) – Most people firmly believe that the Heat are destined to repeat as NBA champions. That said, few people expect the Bucks to provide much resistance. Now Milwaukee does feature a strong backcourt with Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings. However, it’s nearly impossible to see the Bucks slowing down the Miami trio of LeBron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh.

Prediction: Heat win the series 4-0

carmelo-anthony#2 Seed New York Knicks (54-28) vs. #7 Seed Boston Celtics (41-40) – This series could definitely feature some fireworks based on earlier season drama between New York’s Carmelo Anthony and Boston’s Kevin Garnett. However, potential drama is about all this matchup will offer since Boston has been doomed ever since Rajon Rando went down with a season-ending injury. Paul Pierce and Garnett may help Boston steal a game; but Anthony, J.R. Smith, Amar’e Stoudemire and Tyson Chandler will be too much.

Prediction: Knicks win the series 4-1

#3 Indiana Pacers (49-32) vs. #6 Seed Atlanta Hawks (44-38) – Defense is definitely the name of the game for Indiana. They are arguably the best defensive team in the East, meaning Atlanta’s Al Horford and Josh Smith will have difficulty getting to the basket. If the Hawks are to win, they’ll need to lock down David West and Paul George, which won’t be happening.

Prediction: Pacers win the series 4-2

brook-lopez#4 Seed Brooklyn Nets (49-33) vs. #5 Seed Chicago Bulls (45-37) – Brooklyn features a nice trio of stars in Brook Lopez, Joe Johnson and Deron Williams. However, Chicago is a very well-balance club with Joakim Noah and Carlos Boozer manning the paint, and Luol Deng providing a scoring boost. Plus Chicago plays better overall team defense than Brooklyn. Depending upon how healthy Noah is and if they can win the rebounding battle, Chicago can definitely take this series.

Prediction: Chicago wins the series 4-3

Western Conference

#1 Seed Oklahoma City (60-22) vs. #8 Seed Houston Rockets (45-37) – This should be an emotional series for Houston’s James Harden since he’ll be facing off against his former team. He and backcourt mate Jeremy Lin figure to be tough for the Thunder to slow down. But you can expect, Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and the Thunder to go relatively unthreatened in this series. However, the Rockets will probably steal one game at home.

Prediction: Thunder win the series 4-1

tony-parker#2 Seed San Antonio Spurs (58-24) vs. #7 Los Angeles Lakers (45-37) – This matchup would’ve been tough enough for the Lakers to win even with Kobe Bryant. However, Bryant’s Achilles tendon injury has him sidelined until next year and Los Angeles has almost no chance. Dwight Howard would have to play out of his mind and get some big-time support from Steve Nash, Pau Gasol and Metta World Peace. Tony Parker and Tim Duncan aren’t going to let this happen.

Prediction: Spurs win the series 4-1

#3 Seed Denver Nuggets (57-25) vs. #6 Seed Golden State Warriors (47-35) – The most interesting matchup in this series will be at the point guard position, where Ty Lawson faces off against Stephen Curry. Both players lead their teams in scoring, and this battle could ultimately dictate who wins the series. But as of right now, we think that Denver’s depth and strong defense will wear Golden State down over a seven-game series.

Prediction: Denver wins the series 4-3

blake-griffin-clippers#4 Seed Los Angeles Clippers (56-26) vs. #5 Memphis Grizzlies (56-26) – L.A. came on strong at the end of the season to take home court advantage in this matchup. That could huge pay dividends for Blake Griffin, Chis Paul, Jamal Crawford and the rest of the Clippers. But Memphis quite possibly plays the best defense in the league, and should be able to overcome the Clippers’ home court advantage in a close series. Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol will really have to come through for Memphis though.

Prediction: Grizzlies win the series 4-3

Make sure to check back in a couple of weeks for our second round predictions on the 2013 NBA playoffs.

NBA Power Rankings for April 4th, 2013

lebron-jamesIn the last power rankings that we ran, Miami was in the midst of the second longest win streak in NBA history. Unfortunately, this run ended on March 27th in a very physical game with the Chicago Bulls. Following the streak ending, the Heat eventually dropped another contest to the New York Knicks as Carmelo Anthony scored 50 points. Of course, this by no means negates a 27-game win streak, which is why Miami is easily still our number one team. Make sure to check out how the rest of the NBA’s top clubs are faring right now in our power rankings.

1. Miami Heat (58-16) – While Miami has gone 2-2 over the past four contests, it’s worth noting that both of these losses came to solid playoff teams. Furthermore, they beat San Antonio on the road, which is the second ranked club in this week’s power rankings. All in all, it’s virtually a lock that Miami will end the regular season as our top team – barring any major collapses. Don’t expect a collapse to happen since home games against Boston and Chicago are the only real tests left for the Heat.

2. San Antonio Spurs (56-19) – The Spurs failed to generate any buzz as the league’s best team when they lost to Miami at home. Furthermore, they dropped the next contest to Memphis. Things don’t get any easier either because San Antonio plays at Oklahoma City tonight. Tony Parker is a lock for the All-NBA First Team after averaging 20.9 PPG (on 53% shooting) and 7.6 APG. However, any chances of him wrestling the MVP award away from LeBron James vanished during a 12-point, 4-for-14 shooting performance in the Heat loss.

andre-miller3. Denver Nuggets (51-24) – Denver may be behind Oklahoma City in the standings, but they’ve beaten the Thunder twice within the past five weeks. That said, it only makes sense to put the Nuggets slightly ahead of Oklahoma City heading into the regular season’s final two weeks. The good news ends here for Denver though because their star, Ty Lawson, is out indefinitely with a torn planter fascia in his right heel. The Nuggets hope that he’s ready to go for the playoffs while Andre Miller does his best to fill in at PG (12.2 PPG, 6.6 APG over the past 10 games).

4. Oklahoma City Thunder (54-20) – While Oklahoma City has played well up to this point, they face some very difficult upcoming tests. First off, they’ll play San Antonio in a big game that could help determine who ends up with the Western Conference’s top record. After this, they play Indiana (road), New York (home), Utah (road), Golden State (road) and Portland (road), which are all good teams. Once the playoffs start, depth will certainly be an issue for the Thunder because their fifth scorer, Thabo Sefolosha, averages just 7.5 PPG.

carmelo-anthony-15. New York Knicks (48-26) – This has definitely been a rocky season for New York, but they are on a major upswing now. The Knicks have won 10 straight games and are currently edging out the Pacers for the East’s number two seed. Carmelo Anthony has definitely been a huge part of this streak since he’s poured in 90 points over the past two contests. Potential Sixth Man of the Year J.R. Smith is also playing excellent right now too because he’s averaging 23.3 PPG over the last 10 games.

6. Memphis Grizzlies (51-24) – After dropping three out of four games, Memphis is back on the winning track with four straight victories. As usual, defense has been the name of the game since the Grizzlies are holding opponents to 87.5 PPG during the win streak. This club poses a definite threat to whatever team they play in the first round because of their outstanding team D.

7. L.A. Clippers (50-26) – Out of all the teams that we’ve discussed up to this point, Los Angeles is currently struggling the worst. They’ve gone 7-7 over the past 14 contests and haven’t looked like the same team that rattled off 17 straight victories in December. The final seven contests seem fairly light for the Clippers, with only a road game against Memphis looking ominous. Can L.A. recapture their magic in time for the postseason? This will be the big question that defines the success of a year that looked so promising before.

paul-george-pacers8. Indiana Pacers (48-27) – Getting back to the positive side of basketball, Indiana is another team that’s faring quite well. They’ve earned victories in eight of the last nine games and are coasting towards a Central Division title. The only problem is that the New York Knicks are also on fire and staying just ahead of Indianapolis. Only a half game back, it’ll be interesting to see who’s able to grab the East’s second seed, which would mean home court advantage in the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals.

9. Brooklyn Nets (43-31) – A new arena and move to Brooklyn has definitely done this franchise good! Brooklyn is now guaranteed a spot in the playoffs, and they could secure first round home court advantage by holding off the Hawks over the final eight games. This is certainly a possibility too because the Nets play Eastern Conference bottom-feeders five times during this stretch. Backup PF Reggie Evans continues to impress with his rebounding ability since he’s averaging 17.2 boards over the past five games.

10. Atlanta Hawks (42-34) – Atlanta didn’t play their best basketball in March, but this team is hoping to finish up strong with six contests left in their regular season. However, things won’t be easy with road games against San Antonio and New York left on the schedule. It looks like Al Horford is going to average the first double-double of his six-year career; the 26-year-old is averaging 17.4 PPG and 10.2 RPG.