Cavs vs Warriors Game 5 Odds & Betting Advice

cavs-warriors-game-5-oddsAfter the Golden State Warriors won Game 3 and took a 3-0 series lead, a sweep felt like a formality. In fact, news outlets were more concerned about where LeBron James will be in 2018 than they were about Game 4 of the NBA Finals.

But Cleveland extended the series by blitzing the Warriors 137-116. They scored a Finals-record 86 points in the first half, and set another record with 24 made three-pointers.

Do the Cavs have any more magic in them as the series shifts towards Oracle Arena for Game 5?

Find out as we cover why both teams have a chance to win, along with Game 5 betting info.

NBA Finals Game 5:
Cleveland Cavs vs Golden State Warriors (GSW leads series 3-1)

  • Game Time: Monday, June 12 @ 9:00pm ET
  • Money Line: Cleveland +265, Golden State -330
  • Spread: Cleveland +8.5 (-110); Golden State -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 230.5 (-110)

Why the Warriors will Cover their -8.5 Spread

steph-curry-game-5-2017Golden State was completely dominant on their home floor, winning the first two Finals games by an average of 20.5 points. It looked like they might lose Game 3 in Cleveland, but they came roaring back with an 11-0 run to close out the contest.

That said, their Game 4 loss – where Cleveland shot 53.3% from beyond the arc – looks like an outlier, rather than an indication that the Cavs are poised for a comeback.

The problem with playing Golden State is that they have three elite scorers who can hurt you on any given night. If any one of Kevin Durant, Steph Curry, or Klay Thompson is off, the other two usually pick up the slack.

However, Golden State had a rare night, where all three players shot 40.9% or less last game. Durant led the way with a 9-for-22 shooting performance, while Curry (4-for-13) and Thompson (4-for-11) were really off.

klay-thompson-2017-nba-finalsDon’t count on this happening again. This trio is too talented, and they open up chances for each other with their outside shooting.

Another thing that the Warriors need is better play from their role players. Draymond Green has been piling up stats, but he’s yet to have a decent shooting game. Zaza Pachulia needs to stop committing silly fouls and dropping passes. Andre Igoudala needs to be more of a threat from outside.

One player who was really solid for the Dubs is Shaun Livingston, who made 5-of-7 shots in Game 4. If they can get another 1-2 bench players to step up like Livingston, along with better shooting from Green, it’ll make all the difference.

In the end, count at least two players from the Durant/Thompson/Curry trio to get back on track. If this happens, they’ll be hard to beat.

GSW ATS Record: Golden State is 4-4 against the spread in home postseason games. This matchup is a real toss-up as far as the spread goes, given that Cleveland is desperate.

Why the Cavaliers will Cover their +8.5 Spread

kyrie-irving-nba-finals-2017Few have any faith in Cleveland’s ability to come back from an 0-3 deficit. But they provided a glimmer of hope with their outstanding Game 4 victory.

Not only did the Cavs make the game more physical, but they also hit over 52% of their shots in a contest that became very personal.

Kyrie Irving was sensational, making 15-of-27 shots en route to 40 points. Cleveland also got the usual dominant performance from LeBron James, including 11-of-22 shooting and 31 points. He even provided another triple-double with 10 rebounds and 11 assists – surpassing Magic Johnson for the most Finals triple-doubles of all-time with 9.

Kevin Love rounded out a great performance by the Big 3, scoring 23 points on 7-of-14 shooting.

But the player that Cleveland really needed to step up – and did – is Tristan Thompson, who grabbed 10 rebounds (4 offensive) and drew several foul calls on other rebounding attempts. Add in 15 points on five three-pointers from J.R. Smith, and there’s not much the Cavs can do better.

jr-smith-game-5-nba-finalsCleveland is still facing an uphill battle against what’s perhaps the greatest collection of talent on one NBA team ever. They’ll have to play near-perfect and continue bringing physicality/urgency against Golden State.

Assuming they can do this, then they might just have a shot to win Game 5 in Oracle and make this a real series.

Cavs ATS Record: Cleveland is 5-2-2 against the spread in road playoff games. Their 2 losses have come against Golden State. It’ll be close if they can cover +8.5 in this contest.

Final Thoughts on Cavs vs Warriors Betting

Although Golden State is the more talented team overall, it feels like Cleveland could still compete because of how they blew through the Eastern Conference. They’ve shown heart in the last two games, and we don’t expect any less effort in another elimination game.

For the Warriors, they just need to take care of business and let their talent shine through. You can expect more physical play from the Dubs after they got pushed around last time out. It’s hard to envision another scenario where Durant, Curry, and Thompson are off in the same game.

We think that Cleveland will play with enough urgency to beat their +8.5 spread, but the Warriors are a historic team that’ll probably close the series out at home.

Final Score Prediction: Golden State wins 119-115

Cavs vs Warriors Game 5 Betting

cavs-warriorsAfter being dominated the first game in Cleveland by a score of 110-77, Golden State stormed back to claim a 108-97 victory over the Cavaliers in Game 4. This gives the Warriors a commanding 3-1 series lead as action shifts back to Oracle Arena, where they can win the NBA Finals on their home floor.

Not surprisingly, Steph Curry and Klay Thompson led the charge, with Curry scoring 35 points on 11-of-25 shooting, and Thompson pouring in 28 points on 7-of-14 shooting. Most importantly, the Splash Brothers combined for 11-of-22 shooting beyond the arc.

Will Curry and Thompson stay hot and help the Warriors finish off the series? Or do the Cavs have a surprise waiting to extend the series another game? See for yourself below as we discuss Game 6 of the NBA Finals along with betting advice. Spread for Game 5 (June 13 at 9:00pm EST)
Cleveland +7 (-110)
Golden State -7 (-110) Moneyline for Game 5
Cleveland +270
Golden State -340

Why the Cavs will Cover the Spread

As if the Cavaliers weren’t already underdogs in this series, now they face a 3-1 deficit and have to play at one of the toughest arenas in the NBA. So how in the world can they win?

Finding another scoring option, that’s how.

For the second game in a row, LeBron James and Kyrie Irving were fantastic. James had 25 points on 11-of-21 shooting while Irving scored 34 points on 14-of-28 shooting. But they didn’t have another player step up with a huge night like they did in the third contest.

cavs-warriors-bettingJ.R. Smith, who scored 20 points in Game 3, had 10 points last night on just 3-of-10 shooting, including 2-of-8 beyond the arc. Kevin Love initially provided a spark off the bench, but he ended with a modest 10 points. If Cleveland gets one of these two to step up, combined with more outstanding games from James and Irving, then they definitely have a chance to win.

Coach Tyronn Lue might shake up the starting lineup again after Richard Jefferson scored just 3 points in 25 minutes. Love would be the obvious candidate since he’s started all season long.

Beyond anything else, though, we’re going to see a desperate Cavaliers team that knows they have nothing to lose in Game 5. Expect Lue to make whatever lineup changes are necessary, and expect Cleveland to throw everything they’ve got at Golden State.

Why the Warriors will Cover the Spread

While the Cavaliers are a good team, it’s hard to see them winning against a hot Warriors team that’s playing at home. Golden State tallied a 39-2 record at Oracle Arena during the regular season, and they boast an 11-1 postseason record at home.

It’s difficult to find more reasons than this to say that the Warriors will win….but we’ll try.

warriors-thunder-betting-game-3We can start with Curry and Thompson, who got it going together for the first time this series.

Cleveland has been throwing good defenders at these two, and they haven’t shot well at the same time…until last night. If the Splash Brothers shoot this good together again, the game is likely theirs.

Another point worth making is that Golden State won Game 4 despite poor shooting from their role players. Draymond Green was only 2-of-9, Andre Igoudala was 4-of-12, and Shaun Livingston was 3-of-8. Harrison Barnes was the only role player who did well offensively, scoring 14 points on 5-of-11 shooting. If Golden State can win with 80% of their lineup shooting this poorly, then it’s easy to see a blowout in Game 5 if they all play well.

Back-to-back titles are well within reach for this Warriors team. They just need another strong home game to finish the deal. And based on their home record so far, which only includes one loss to Oklahoma City, it’s easy to see them winning again.

Prediction on Cavs vs Warriors Game 5

thunder-warriors-betting-game-3Cleveland might be down but not out. They’re a good team that coasted through the Eastern Conference playoffs, before running into a Golden State juggernaut. Don’t expect the Cavs to fade away despite facing an impossible deficit to a better team. We see them doing anything they can to slow down this Warriors team and force another game.

Will Cleveland win? Probably not. But we think that they’ll play the Warriors just close enough that to cover their +7 spread and make this an exciting contest.

Score Prediction: Golden State 105 – Cleveland 99
Betting Advice: Bet on the Cavs to cover their +7 spread

Cavs vs Warriors Game 5 Betting: Golden State has Momentum

golden-state-cleveland-game5Facing the possibility of going down 3-1 on the road, Golden State pulled out a huge 103-82 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. It was clear that the Warriors were the dominant team on Thursday night, as many expected them to be entering the series, and especially when Kyrie Irving went down with a broken left knee cap in Game 1. Given that Golden State now has the momentum, should we now expect them to walk away with the series, or does Cleveland stand a chance as action moves to Oracle Arena? We’ll cover this soon, but here’s a look at the Game 5 betting line:

Game Time: Sunday (June 14) at 9:00pm EST on ABC Betting Line:

Golden State -8.5 (-110)    Over 195.5 (-110)
Cleveland (-110)               Under 195.5 (-110)

Once again, Golden State is a huge favorite while playing at home. Of course, they were also -8.5 favorites in Game 2 as well and ended up losing. So this figures to be anybody’s game from both a betting line and winning standpoint. That said, let’s look at five points to consider going into Game 5 between the Cavs and Warriors.

1. Cleveland’s Unsung Heroes let them down Last Game

Cavs fans have been singing the praises of J.R. Smith, Iman Shumpert and Matthew Dellavedova throughout the 2015 NBA Playoffs. But these praises were quickly quieted with Smith (2-for-12), Shumpert (2-for-9) and Dellavedova (3-for-14) all having terrible shooting nights. Smith’s play was noticeably bad when considering that his team was outscored by 27 points with him on the floor. Game 5 presents another chance for these guys to redeem themselves, but can they do it?

2. Don’t let the Warriors get ahead

golden-state-cleveland-game-5Stats favor the Warriors greatly when they build a lead. They are 57-0 when pulling ahead by 15 points or more this season. And they are 69-3 when leading after three quarters. One more interesting number is that Golden State is just the sixth team to win a NBA Finals road game by 20 points or more. Throw in the fact that the Warriors were 39-2 in Oracle Arena during the regular season and you have the numbers all favoring the team from the Bay Area.

3. Golden State cut their Rotation, and it worked to Perfection

Much has been made about how thin the Cavaliers are due to injuries. But one should also note that Steve Kerr has cut the Warriors rotation considerably too. In Game 4, they really only played seven players, who all fit into their versatile small ball lineup. The starters all played at least 32 minutes each, while Shaun Livingston and David Lee logged 24 and 15 minutes respectively off the bench. Given the success of this lineup, don’t be surprised to see this combination again.

4. Cleveland played about as Badly as Possible

cavs-vs-warriorsWith what we’ve seen from the Cavs through the first three games, it’s clear that they played about as poorly as they possibly could have last game. Even LeBron James was a dismal 7-for-22 from the field and 5-of-10 from the free throw line. As a team, they shot just 33% from the field and 14.8% from the three-point line. Obviously LeBron is playing with a limited lineup, thanks to injuries to Irving and Kevin Love, but what was seen in Game 4 was just ridiculously bad.

5. The Cavs may not be as Lost as you think

Looking at everything we’ve discussed, it doesn’t seem like Cleveland has much of a chance to win at Golden State. But then again, they weren’t given much of a postseason chance when Love went down, and they definitely weren’t favored to win with the loss of Irving. And here’s a little something else to consider: Cleveland has held opponents to just 40.4% shooting and 25.6% from beyond the arc away from home. Sure, Golden State isn’t just any team; but they also suffered against Cleveland’s D in Game 2, shooting 39.8% from the field and 22.9% from the three-point line. So it’s not entirely possible that Game 5 could feature a rejuvenated Cleveland team winning after a two-day rest.

Final Score Prediction: Cleveland 98 – Golden State 94