Last season, Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott came out of nowhere to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. The fourth-round draft pick threw for 3,667 yards and 23 touchdowns, and ran for another 282 yards and 6 touchdowns.
Will another surprise rookie win the Offensive ROTY award in 2017. Let’s look at the GTBets odds on this bet below and discuss the chances on some of these rookies. And as you’ll see, the ROTY crowd is heavy at running back.
- Adam Shaheen +7500
- Cardale Jones +7500
- Christian McCaffrey +450
- Corey Davis +2200
- Curtis Samuel +3000
- Dalvin Cook +500
- David Njoku +3000
- Deshaun Watson +650
- Deshone Kizer +1200
- Donta Foreman +5000
- Evan Ingram +2500
- Jamaal Williams +2000
- Joe Mixon +1400
- John Ross +5000
- Juju Schuster Smith +5000
- Kareem Hunt +700
- Leonard Fournette +550
- Mitch Trubisky +1200
- OJ Howard +1800
- Patrick Mahomes +3000
- Samaje Perine +2500
- Zay Jones +1400
ROTY Rankings – Based on Bet Value & Odds to Win
1. Leonard Fournette RB, Jacksonville Jaguars +550
The separation isn’t great among notable Offensive ROTY candidates. So it’s hard finding much value at the top. But if you’re looking for the player with the best chance to win, we give a slight edge to Leonard Fournette.
The LSU product has great size (6’0, 235 pounds) and decent speed (4.51 forty). The fourth overall pick also doesn’t have a lot of competition for carries, with an aging Chris Ivory and disappointing T.J. Yeldon behind him.
Our biggest question mark, though, is how well Fournette can succeed in the Jacksonville backfield. After all, this team hasn’t had a 1,000-yard rusher since Maurice Jones-Drew did it in 2011.
2. Dalvin Cook RB, Minnesota Vikings +500
The Florida State product seized the opportunity and will start in the backfield for Minnesota. And the great thing about Cook is that he’s shown the ability to be a 3-down back.
Two potential hangups include Murray vulturing touchdowns and the Minnesota offensive line. Murray will still have a role, and that role will be stealing red zone touches from Cook. The O-line hasn’t improved much from last year, when not even Adrian Peterson could find any running room.
3. Kareem Hunt RB, Kansas City Chiefs + 700
The onslaught of running backs in the Rookie Offensive of the Year race continues with Kansas City’s Kareem Hunt. The Toledo runner was slated to be a backup for Spencer Ware. But the latter hurt his PCL, had surgery, and is likely done for the year.
Andy Reid didn’t waste any time naming Hunt the starter. The Chiefs use their running backs plenty, which means that Hunt will be in for lots of carries. But recent news suggests that he’ll be in a full-blown committee with C.J. Spiller and Charcandrick West.
4. Christian McCaffrey RB, Carolina Panthers +450
The main problems with McCaffrey, though, is that he’s not built to carry a heavy load (5’11”, 202 pounds), and he’ll be sharing touches with Jonathan Stewart. But then again, Stewart is now 30 and has missed three or more games in five straight seasons.
5. DeShone Kizer QB, Cleveland Browns +650
Notre Dame rookie DeShone Kizer rose to the top of the Cleveland Browns’ depth chart during the preseason. And now he’ll attempt to end nearly two decades of embarrassing quarterback play for Cleveland.
We don’t see him flourishing on a team that’s been a wasteland for young QBs. But Kizer is also the only rookie QB who’ll be starting on opening day. This gives him an inside track to get the numbers to compete for Offensive Rookie of the Year.
6. Joe Mixon RB, Cincinnati Bengals +1400
Mixon, a second-round pick out of Oklahoma, is an explosive player who figures to get carries at some point in the year. Don’t be surprised if he turns these touches into a starting job.
7. Deshaun Watson QB, Houston Texans +650
Watson started the preseason strong, but finished with a 14-for-31 passing performance and 1 interception. Tom Savage will be Houston’s starting QB, which somewhat hampers Watson’s Offensive ROTY chances.
8. Zay Jones WR, Buffalo Bills +1400
Veterans Sammy Watkins and Robert Woods are gone, while Jordan Matthews (trade) and Jones will try and fill the void.
Matthews isn’t a dynamic No. 1 receiving threat, which means that Jones will get plenty of targets too.
9. Corey Davis WR, Tennessee Titans +2200
Corey Davis came into this season with a lot of buzz after dominating at Western Michigan. He ranked in the top 10 nationally with 97 catches (eighth), 1,500 yards (ninth), and 19 touchdowns (T-first).
However, Davis suffered an ankle injury that’s sidelined him for most of the offseason. Tennessee didn’t care, though, taking the All American with the fifth overall pick.
But Davis will take a few weeks to get up to NFL speed because he missed the entire preseason. And he’s already set to begin the season as a situational player.
10. Mitch Trubisky QB, Chicago Bears +1200
Trubisky completed 70.4% of his passes and had 3 touchdowns against zero interceptions. Glennon, meanwhile, completed 59.10% of his passes and had 2 touchdowns against 2 picks.
Of course, Trubisky’s numbers came against second-stringers. And it won’t be any picnic being a starting Chicago QB this year because the wide receiver corp is depleted. Cameron Meredith is out for the year with a knee injury, meaning the team has no major receiving threats.