2016 Euro Cup Betting: France vs Germany

france-germany-bettingWith Portugal having just secured their place in the 2016 Euro Cup Finals, via a 2-0 victory over Wales, it’s between France and Germany on who’ll meet them.

There’s little argument on who had the tougher road to the semifinals, with Germany earning a gritty win over Italy on penalty kicks. France, meanwhile, stomped on Iceland’s fairytale run with a 5-2 victory.

Will the host nation get another victory and meet Portugal in the finals? Or will it be the battle-tested Germans moving on after their close game against Italy? Find out as we cover this match and discuss which team you should bet on.

France vs Germany (3:00pm EST on July 7)
GTBets.eu Moneyline
France +170
Germany +190
Draw +200

GTBets.eu Spread
+0.5 (-250)
-0.5 (+180)

France vs Germany Overview

Up until their match against Iceland, France had not played well in this tournament. Les Bleus edged by Albania and Romania with late goals and came back to win against Ireland in the quarterfinals. Their shining moment so far came against Iceland in the round of eight, where they easily knocked out a giant killer. In this match, like previous ones, France relied on the offense supplied by Antoine Griezmann, Dimitri Payet, and Olivier Giroud.

olivier-giroudAs for Germany, their Euro Cup performance has been impressive at times, but below average at other points. They tied Poland and beat Northern Ireland 1-0 in group play, and needed to win on penalties against Italy. Nevertheless, Germany’s 2014 World Cup victory is still giving them confidence moving forward, and they’ve largely played better than France.

There are signs that Les Bleus may be coming around, scoring seven goals in their last three halves of play. This was against less-talented Iceland and Ireland squads, though; Germany won’t be nearly as easy to beat tomorrow.

Germany is Missing Players

The Nationalmannschaft have used a 3-4-2-1 system in all their Euro Cup matches, playing Jonas Hector and Joshua Kimmich as wing-backs. They’ve done a strong job throughout the tournament, and they’ll have to keep playing well due to how many players Germany is missing.

Midfielder Sami Khedira won’t play against France, and fellow midfielder Bastian Schweinsteiger could miss the match as well. Possible replacements include Emre Can and/or Julian Weigl, but this creates a tough situation for the Germans.

spain-italy-euro-betting-1Their defense will take a hit too, with Mats Hummels to also miss the match due to suspension. This could make Germany more vulnerable in the back line and open up opportunities for France.

Mario Gomez is just one more influential player who’ll miss the match. With Gomez out, Thomas Muller, Julian Draxler, and Mesut Ozil will need to step up and make up for their star striker’s absence.

Key Matchups

spain-italy-euro-betting-2Muller hasn’t scored any goals in the Euro Cup, but he’s doing everything else right. He set up Gomez for a score against Northern Ireland and has also helped Kimmich on defense. It’s likely that Muller will line up on the right and face France’s left-back Evra, who hasn’t been a defensive stalwart so far. Evra had an especially tough match against Iceland while manning the full-back spot. He’s going to need to play his best against Muller in order to slow down the German attack.

Another key matchup will be Jerome Boateng against Giroud. The latter has been huge for France, scoring two goals and assisting on two others. Boateng has also been playing excellent in Germany’s back line, with his only mistake being a handball against Italy. Whoever wins this matchup will have big implications on the final score.

Prediction on France vs Germany

Germany still boasts the fantastic core of players that helped them win the Cup two years ago. But in that run, they were able to keep key players healthy in the latter stages. That’s not the case this time around, though, with injuries to Khedira and Gomez, and Hummels suspended. The replacements are good, but are they strong enough to beat a French team in good form?

For France, the key will be withstanding early German attacks and using the same well-timed counters they did against Iceland. Their 4-2-3-1 formation has paid dividends in the last two matches, especially for Giroud and Griezmann. This attack should be enough to help France prevail against a shorthanded German team.

Final Score Prediction: France wins 2-1
Betting Advice: With the injuries and suspension hitting Germany, France looks really attractive on both the spread and moneyline.

2016 Euro Cup: Germany vs Italy Betting

spain-italy-euro-bettingSaturday will renew one of the greatest rivalries in sports, as Italy faces Germany. Only…this rivalry has been a little one-sided over the years.

Eight times these teams have met in a major international tournament, and Germany hasn’t won a single match. But that could very well change this year since the high-powered Germans boast one of the top five teams in the world.

They’ve done little to provide doubts in the 2016 Euro Cup, posting a 3-1-0 record, with a 3-0 drubbing of Slovakia in their last outing.

Italy came into this tournament with the billing of having their least-talented Euro team in 50 years. They’ve shaken this notion, though, especially with their 2-0 victory over Spain in the round of 16, and a 2-0 win over Belgium in group play.

Both teams have impressive credentials, making this a tough match to call. If you’re looking for some betting advice, keep reading as we break down this matchup.

Germany and Italy (3:00pm EST at July 2)
GTBets.eu Moneyline
Italy +285
Germany +120
Draw +200

GTBets.eu Spread
Italy  -0.5 (-143)
Germany  -0.5 (+115)

Why Italy Will Win

Even after impressive wins over Belgium and Spain, nobody is arguing that Italy has more talent. But everybody is harping on the history of this matchup, with Italy being the winner on every occasion.

Some of these include triumphant wins, such as Italy’s 3-1 victory in the 1982 World Cup Final, and, more recently, another victory against Germany in a 2006 World Cup semifinal.

Of course, it takes more than history to win a match of this magnitude. Italy will rely on the defensive talents of Gianluigi Buffon, Giorgio Chiellini, Andrea Barzagli, and Leonardo Bonucci to stop the German attack. This is well within reach of this group too, considering that they shut down the Spanish and Belgians.

Coach Antonio Conte is also a key part of this effort. He’s shown brilliant tactical plans that highlight the Italians strengths and hide their weaknesses. Conte’s most-recent plan pressed the Spaniards and negated their ability to play out of the back. Forward Graziano Pellè stayed glued to Spanish playmaker Sergio Busquets, preventing Spain from doing much of anything on offense.

Even if we ignore history, Italy has proven that they’re far better than what anybody expected heading into the 2016 Euro Cup. And that gives them a legitimate chance to win this match.

Why German Will Win

How can this German squad erase a tortured history against the Italians? For starters, they have the better on-field talent. Manger Joachim Low has a number of options in his front side, meaning he can tweak his lineup whenever the situation requires.

spain-italy-euro-betting-1This deep, talented squad was in good form against Slovakia, as Jerome Boateng, Julian Draxler, and Mario Gomez all scored goals. The 6’3″ Gomez is the focal point of this attack, while Thomas Müller and Mesut Özil provide nice offensive support.

In the end, this could come down to a battle of wills between Italy’s defense and Germany’s offense. As mentioned before, the Italians have been exceptional in the backline, holding two top-10 teams scoreless.

But Germany’s front unit is more experienced, deeper, and more talented. This should help them win the possession battle and keep pressure on Italy. If Germany can score twice, this match is over.

Prediction on Germany vs Italy

spain-italy-euro-betting-2Making the quarterfinals of Euro 2016 is nothing out of the ordinary for an Italian squad. But after mastering a tougher-than-expected group and thumping Spain, Italy has gotten the world’s attention. This is a stalwart defensive unit that’s very efficient on counters. But in the end, Germany is too big, too experienced, and too good to not advance. Look for the Germans to end their losing streak against the Italians.

Final Score Prediction: Germany wins 2-1
Betting Advice: While Germany has the firepower to win, we like Italy’s moneyline (+285) or a regulation draw (+200).

2016 Euro Cup: Wales vs Belgium Betting

BelgiumWales has moved into the 2016 Euro Cup’s final eight by beating Northern Ireland 1-0. This means that Gareth Bale and company’s only loss so far is a 2-1 match against England.

Their opponent, Belgium, has also lost just once, dropping their first Euro Cup group play match to Italy by a score of 2-0. Since then, the Belgians have looked more and more impressive, crushing Hungary 4-0 in their round of 16 match.

Will this be the fate of Wales as well? Or can they pull off the upset?

Find out as we cover Friday’s matchup between these teams, and discuss who you should bet on.

Belgium vs Wales (3:00pm EST at July 1)
GTBets.eu Moneyline
Belgium  -125
Wales  +390
Draw  +240

GTBets.eu Spread
Belgium  -0.5 (-125)
Wales  -0.5 (+100)

Belgium vs Wales Overview

wales-euro-cup-bettingRanked behind both England and Northern Ireland in the FIFA rankings, few expected Wales to be the last-remaining British nation left in the Euro Cup. But here they are, riding the high of two straight victories and looking to advance to the final four.

Confidence won’t be an issue for Wales because they beat Belgium last year in qualifiers. And Bale, Aaron Ramsey and Joe Allen have formed an impressive three-star rotation that’s putting the ball in the net. Wales looks as good as ever, meaning they have a chance to pull off this win.

But Belgium is also living up to lofty expectations, thanks in large part to defensive efforts by Thomas Vermaelen. Unfortunately, he won’t be available against Wales due to a suspension. The Belgians will rely on midfielders Axel Witsel and Radja Nainggolan to help maintain possession and keep Wales out of their backfield.

Eden Hazard and Kevin De Bruyne have also played well in this tourney, but they need more out of Romelu Lukaku and Dries Mertens, both of whom have been inconsistent lately.

Key Matchups

belgium-euro-cup-bettingAfter scoring two goals against Ireland, Lukaku hasn’t done much. But he’s a big forward who proves a tough matchup for Wales’ backline. Ashley Williams will be part of the backline trying to stop Lukaku and prevent him from doing damage.

Another important matchup will take place between Nainggolan and the Welsh midfielder Allen. The latter is key to Wales’ total effort, making solid passes and key tackles. But if Nainggolan can slow him down and disrupt Wales’ attack, then Belgium has a great chance of keeping the Welsh out of the net.

Breakout Performers: Joe Ledley and Kevin De Bruyne

Lost in the Welsh victory over Northern Ireland is that Ledley didn’t have a fantastic match. But he has a good chance to step up against the offensive-geared Belgian side and make some plays. We see him making big tackles and ruining some of the things that Belgium wants to do.

It’s been three matches since the Belgians last scored a goal on Wales. Don’t expect them to play reserved on Friday, as they’ll be looking to end this scoreless streak. This flow will favor Kevin De Bruyne, who’ll likely be playing a freer role. The Manchester City man could either score himself or create a goal for somebody else if the gameplan goes his way.

Prediction on Belgium vs Wales

Wales knows that they can play with Belgium, having done so last year. They also have three excellent players in Bale, Ramsey and Allen, who can provide the firepower needed to take down Belgium. But the Belgian side hasn’t even shown what they’re capable of yet in the tournament. While we expect Wales to provide resistance, Belgium might have a date with destiny in the finals.

Final Score Prediction: Belgium wins 2-1
Betting Advice: This is a tough one. We like Belgium on the spread, but Wales is offering good value on the moneyline.