Floyd Mayweather and Connor McGregor agreed to an August 26 bout, while Manny Pacquiao and Australia’s Jeff Horn will fight on July 1.
The WBO Welterweight champ Pacquiao is favored big on the betting lines. But Horn is looking for an upset during the “Battle of Brisbane” in his home country. That said, let’s look at the odds and discuss if Horn has a chance to beat his favored opponent.
Pacquiao vs Horn Odds & Fight Details
When: July 1, 2017 at 10:00pm EST
Where: Suncorp Stadium Brisbane, Australia
GTBets.eu Line: Jeff Horn +425 vs Manny Pacquaiao -667
Pacquiao Has a Big Experience Edge
This isn’t Jeff Horn’s first rodeo because he’s 29 years old and has compiled a 16-0-1 record. He definitely has some punching power – as evidenced by 11 KOs – and he’s the WBO Inter-Continental title holder.
However, he steps into a totally different world when facing Pacquiao. The 38-year-old Philippino fighter boasts a 59-6-2 record, and this is his third time holding the WBO Welterweight belt.
After dropping a 12-round unanimous decision to Floyd Mayweather on May 2, 2015, he’s won two straight fights against Timothy Bradley and Jesse Vargas. Pac Man hasn’t delivered a knockout in six straight fights, but he’s almost assured to win if the fight goes the distance.
Horn Looking to Channel Márquez KO
Pacquiao’s greatest career rival is Juan Manuel Márquez. The pair fought four times, with Pacquiao taking the series 2-1-1. But the last fight on Dec 8, 2012 saw Márquez deliver a knockout win.
“He does leave himself open a little bit, as he was seen to do with Marquez in the fight where he got knocked out,” Horn told On the Ropes Boxing.
“I will be trying to get him with that same shot if I possibly can. I’m working on all of the strategies and trying to see what’s going to work best on the night, but you don’t know until you step in there.”
For what it’s worth, Australian boxing legend Jeff Fenech believes that Horn is ready to pull off a shocker.
“He’s bigger, stronger, younger, he can punch, and he wants it more than Manny Pacquiao,” Fenech wrote on Boxing Scene.
He also believes that Pacquiao’s success will make him less hungry.
“Anyone who thinks Manny’s hungry, of course — $8 million or $10 million is going to be great to go and help his people back at home,” Fenech explained.
“But you lose your hunger when you have success for so long and this kid’s very, very hungry. That’s going to be the difference. He’s going to make a lot of people eat humble pie.”
Pacquaio Has “Never Been as Motivated”
From the way Pacquiao talks, he’s quite the opposite of what Fenech described. In fact, he’s really fired up for the Battle of Brisbane.
“In all my years of boxing, I have never been as motivated and fired up as this fight,” he told the Courier Mail. “My team is very happy with my preparation. I am looking forward to this and I will be going home as world champion.’’
The 11-time world champion isn’t taking anything for granted and is training as hard as ever. The Courier Mail reports that he knocked his Mexican sparring partner, Adrian Young, down twice during their last session. He didn’t go any easier when sparring with Australian lightweight George Kambosos.
Based on the odds, it seems very likely that Pacquiao will grab his 60th win and retain his WBO Welterweight title. But Horn has the power to pull off an upset. Moreover, he also has a 4-inch height advantage and is 9 years younger than the champ.
Does all of this make Horn worth a long-shot bet?
You stand to win $425 on him for every $100 wagered, which is always an exciting prospect. But on the other hand, maybe Horn isn’t quite seasoned enough to take down a fighter of Pacquiao’s stature.
We shall see on July 1.